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I asked this before but I don’t think I explained well what I meant. Nominal US GDP is $24 T. You want it to stay there for say 3-4 quarters. Let’s use 4 - easier math but note negative impacts less if only 9 months. If inflation immediately dropped to the 2% as stated, that would imply real growth at -2% so pretty garden variety recession. Am I missing anything? Thanks!

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What data indicates fiscal policy and resulting boost to consumer and business cash didn’t influence US inflation. Why can’t supply disruptions, monetary expansion, and fiscal all be material contributions?

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